Buying low on the Texans in this spot after they got embarrassed at home last week and lost Matt Schaub. They go on the road to play a Chiefs team that to me is significantly over rated. The Chiefs won 24-7 over the Raiders, but that score was a bit misleading and actually when you look back at a lot of the Chiefs game this year the results have been misleading, but it gives us great value on the Chiefs opponent again this week.
The Chiefs weakness is the Texans strength. Texans can still run the ball and with a rookie QB in there this week that's what they will get back to in what will be a gritty win. Case Keenum can sling it, but he's going to be asked to win with a simple game plan with running and play action and that will get good results vs. the Chiefs as they are ranked 30th in rushing yards per carry. Meanwhile the Chiefs offense has been putrid despite the high point totals. Chiefs have benefited from the best field position of any team in the NFL, but facing the Texans who are still a top 5 defense is not going to be easy. Houston is #1 in yards allowed and facing an offense that's one of the worst in the league.
